W/L Distribution (6W / 0L / 0S)
Outstanding P&L
Elite win rate
Exceptional risk/reward
Great winners vs losers
W/L Distribution (6W / 1L / 0S)
Strong P&L
Elite win rate
Exceptional risk/reward
W/L Distribution (11W / 9L / 0S)
Strong P&L
Great winners vs losers
W/L Distribution (9W / 10L / 0S)
Modest P&L
W/L Distribution (7W / 17L / 1S)
Significant loss
Very low win rate
Negative expectancy
High trade count
W/L Distribution (14W / 35L / 2S)
Significant loss
Very low win rate
Negative expectancy
Overtraded
W/L Distribution (5W / 14L / 0S)
Significant loss
Very low win rate
Negative expectancy
Generated by Claude Code - VWAP Band Execution Analysis - 147 trades across 7 symbols - Net P&L: $+118.38
VWAP Band Execution Commentary
AAOI - Star of the Day (A+)
Textbook VWAP band execution. Entered near the lower bands at ~$139 during the post-gap pullback, scaled into 6 fills, and let winners ride as price traversed up through every deviation band to $151+. Best single fill: +$42.30. 100% win rate on 20 shares. This is the template - patient entry at lower bands, conviction hold through the full band traverse.
NVDA - Clean Trend Capture (A-)
7 trades, 30 shares, strong profit factor. First entry was a small loss (-$3.85) but quickly recalibrated. Remaining fills all winners with runners catching the move to $189.64. Controlled risk, let winners run. Good VWAP band awareness.
ORCL - Solid Both Sides (B+)
20 trades on both sides. Short entries near $135.55-60 caught a clean move to $134.85. Long entries at $136.47-56 rode the afternoon push to $138.70. The midday long attempts near $136.00 were the weak spot with several small losses before the thesis worked. Net +$21.16.
PLTR - Mixed Execution (B-)
Initial entries at $124.47 were excellent - caught a $3-4 move per share off the lower VWAP bands. But re-entries at $128-129 chased near the upper bands, creating drag. Net positive at +$15.09 but second-wave entries diluted the edge. Lesson: don't chase entries above the mid-band after a runner.
CAR - Fought the Trend (D)
17 trades, mostly short-side, net -$49.05. First short at $285.62 was against a strong move and lost $26.90. Two good fills caught the drop to $275, but then re-shorted into support repeatedly. Afternoon shorts at $270-273 all squeezed higher. Overtraded a losing thesis - should have walked away after the initial stop-out or at minimum after the second failed re-entry.
IBIT + IGV - Death by a Thousand Cuts
Combined 75 trades (51% of all activity) for just -$20.67 in P&L. Tiny size, high frequency, near-zero edge. The sheer volume of trades is the concern - attention and capital deployed on near-scratch outcomes while the real edge was in AAOI and NVDA. Consider whether this activity is adding value or just creating noise.